I believe that the Corona Virus Covid 19 cannot be stopped no matter what we do. We can slow its growth to a certain extent. We can quarantine and educate. But, even with China’s brutal measures, the disease is still spreading in China. Don’t believe their doctored numbers – they are hiding the true numbers to save face. Here are some points that I think should be known about Covid-19.

1. Does temperature affect the spread of Covid 19?
Experts question whether Covid 19 will slow down when the weather warms up.
You can crunch numbers based on the spread of the disease in warm countries vs. cold provinces and countries now and see that the growth rate in warm areas is much slower in warm areas whether areas being compared are under quarantine or not. Covid 19 grows slowly enough in warm climates that the number of recoveries per day is similar to the number of new infections.

2. What is the death rate from Covid 19?
The death rate from Covid 19 is a debated topic. Rates of 2%, 3.7% and 6% have been mentioned. If you look at closed cases where there is either a recovery or death, 6% of the people died. However, most of those numbers are from China and the reporting protocol and health systems in other countries may reflect very different statistics. Therefor a global statistic of the death rate is relatively meaningless as it doesn’t apply to any particular place.

3. Cruise ships are incubators and not quarantines
The air in cruise ships is pumped from one room to the others without being disinfected. Not only is a cruise ship not a real quarantine for the disease but, it is an ideal place to spread the disease with optimal efficiency. Relatives of people who died on the Diamond Princess should consider holding the Japanese government or the ship’s management accountable and responsible for pumping infected air into people’s rooms and hence causing their inevitable infection and possibly death.

4. Testing for Covid 19 is a big part of the solution.
Testing is expensive and many people who want a test are denied simply because resources are so limited. But, if the disease spreads out of control, how will they test at that point to get realistic statistics? If you can’t handle a tiny outbreak, how will you handle an epidemic? My strategy is to —

A. Test all who have symptoms of the disease. That might be a lot of people.
B. Test all who have come into contact with those infected. Once again, that will amount to a lot of people.
C. Quarantine those who are infected
D. Treat those who are quarantined and have a good supply of oxygen and respirators.

Summary
I don’t believe there is a way to completely control Covid-19, but if my recommended measures are implemented, the spread of the disease would be slow enough that we would not have to shut down schools, events, trade, cities, etc.